FiveThirtyEight: “On Saturday, voters will decide who among 23 candidates — 11 Republicans, 10 Democrats, one independent and one libertarian — will replace Rep. Ron Wright, who died in February after contracting COVID-19. One of five special elections to take place during President Biden’s first few months in office, this jungle primary in Texas is arguably the most competitive, as the district — once drawn as a GOP stronghold — has gradually started to become a battleground.
That might come as a shock to some, considering Texas is traditionally a ruby red state and the 6th Congressional District has been firmly in Republicans’ grip since at least 1984. To be clear, the race is still very much the GOP’s to lose, but that doesn’t mean Democrats aren’t taking the election seriously. A resulting runoff election in the next few months is almost certain, and based on the changing demographics of the district, it’s very possible that it will be a Democrat and a Republican who square off.
So, here’s what to keep an eye on before and after polls close at 7 p.m. Central on Saturday and why we should look at the results as a harbinger of what’s to come in 2022.”