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“With Turnout Data Finalized, a New Assessment of 2022’s Mid-Term Election in NC”

Posted on December 10, 2022December 10, 2022 by yellowdogrising

Old North State Politics: “With North Carolina’s counties and state board of elections finalizing the results of the 2022 mid-term elections, and the subsequent completion of voter history data on the 3.7 million North Carolinians who cast a ballot this past November, we can now get an official portrait of the state’s electorate and who showed up.

And based on this information, a reevaluation of the performance of one political party in 2022 is warranted. More on that later….

For Republicans, it’s simple: keep doing what you do. In the short-run, higher turnout rates for key GOP groups will continue to see you win the “competitive but stuck” battleground electoral environment, at least state-wide. 

For Democrats, it’s also simple: if you want to keep your federal candidates getting 48 to 49 percent of the vote, but lose to Republicans by the narrowest of margins time after time, keep doing what you are doing. Keep getting your registered partisans to show up just at the state-level, but allow your partisan opponents to show up at a higher rate. Ignore turning out voters under 40 years old, ignore turning out out core Black/African American voters, and ignore your regional dominance in the central cities.”

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