{"id":106288,"date":"2022-12-28T19:13:46","date_gmt":"2022-12-28T19:13:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/?p=106288"},"modified":"2022-12-28T19:13:48","modified_gmt":"2022-12-28T19:13:48","slug":"n-c-set-for-first-100-million-governors-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/?p=106288","title":{"rendered":"“N.C. set for first $100 million governor’s race”"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Longleaf Politics<\/a>: “North Carolina is used to high-dollar U.S. Senate races. The governor’s race could soon join that club.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson continues to lay the groundwork for a 2024 run for governor, his campaign is signaling that it will take an unprecedented amount of money to win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a fundraising email, the Robinson campaign said it expects $100 million to be spent on the race \u2014 which would be a North Carolina record by a long shot. “I’ve been told that the Governor’s race will be the most expensive we have ever seen,” the email states, asking recipients to chip in….<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What will 2024 spending look like?<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Just for a little context, U.S. Senate campaigns are much more expensive because of outside spending from national groups. In 2020, U.S. Sen. Thom Tillis spent $24 million from his campaign fund and Cal Cunningham spent about $52 million. But with outside spending included, the race came in at a record-setting $300 million.\u00a0That\u2019s because both parties viewed North Carolina\u2019s seat as key to their path to control of the chamber.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

North Carolina\u2019s 2024 governor\u2019s race won\u2019t come close to those numbers. But it almost certainly will become the most expensive in North Carolina\u2019s history. With Cooper term-limited, the race is an open seat \u2014 meaning both candidates will have to spend considerable money building name ID statewide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Look for the Stein campaign to spend somewhere around $50 million to $60 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I don\u2019t see a path for Republicans to out-raise and out-spend Democrats in this cycle. The Democrat money machine is powerful and well-cultivated in North Carolina. Republican fundraising is far behind. But to stay competitive, the Robinson campaign will need to raise at least $35 million \u2014 a far greater number than any Republican gubernatorial candidate has ever raised before. It will be tough to get there, but it\u2019s possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Outside spending will be a significant X-factor. Both candidates have a solid line on national spending: Robinson from his connections to the NRA and a rising national profile; Stein from his connections to Cooper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All-in, a $100 million governor\u2019s race is probably about accurate.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Longleaf Politics: “North Carolina is used to high-dollar U.S. Senate races. The governor’s race could soon join that club. As Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson continues to lay the groundwork for a 2024 run for governor, his campaign is signaling that it will take an unprecedented amount of money to win. In a fundraising email, the…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-106288","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-newsstory"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106288","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=106288"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106288\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":106290,"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/106288\/revisions\/106290"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=106288"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=106288"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/yellowdogwire.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=106288"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}